JamesE Posted September 6, 2021 #53076 Share Posted September 6, 2021 Before all y'all go all verklempt about how it's just a wish list, or BS, or how nutz theses guys are, you have to remember one thing: The Phuket Sandbox is considered an opening "without quarantine". When you use that - the sandbox model - as the definition of "without quarantine", I think you will be closer to their intent, and then the projections sound more reasonable. My opinion, and it is only that, is that Thailand would really like it if most of tourism goes away. But they can't say that. It would piss-off the international hotel conglomerates and developers if that cat was ever let out of the bag. The powers-that-be (not going quite as far as @dmacarelligoes here from a moral reasoning) would rather have tourism be 2 or 3% of the economy instead of 20%. They want TLOS to be an ASEAN alternative to China in manufacturing and they want BKK to take over from Hong Kong as a western-funded financial hub. To do that they need people they can train and those people have, to a greater or lesser extent, fled from the tourist zones back to their home cities, towns and villages. Eventually, they'll realize that tourism is not coming back in the foreseeable future and start looking for other work outside the markets and paddies.If Thailand can get its manufacturing going again (remember, up until April the Thai economy outside of tourism was doing just fine) then there will be a ready supply of workers for its expansion. The hotels, s#1t-shops, restaurants, and everything else that can't reset to a domestic-mostly tourist market will go the way of corner stables and farriers. A lot of people will get hurt, some will adapt, some won't, some will thrive; just like with any other transition. But first, Thailand has to remove any hope of anything in tourism returning to anything like 2019. My prediction is that the Phuket Sandbox is here to stay, it will just morph to the Thailand Sandbox over the next 4 to 6 months. 7 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53076 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bangkok_Gary Posted September 7, 2021 #53090 Share Posted September 7, 2021 Welcome to Thailand, Land of Delusions. 2 1 1 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53090 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lawyers_Guns_and_Money Posted September 7, 2021 #53099 Share Posted September 7, 2021 22 hours ago, Thaiger said: Thailand’s Tourism Minister wants the country to re-open fully, without quarantine, by January, but says this will depend on vaccination efforts. According to a Bangkok Post report, Phiphat Ratchakitprakarn is citing herd immunity as a condition for the re-opening, pointing out that Bangkok’s re-opening has been delayed from October to November, as most residents are still waiting for their second vaccine dose. However, Phiphat says the re-opening of Chiang Mai, Chon Buri (Pattaya), and Prachuap Khiri Khan (Hua Hin) can go ahead on October 1. The central province of Phetchaburi is also set to re-open on the same date, but […] The post Tourism ministry wants Thailand fully re-opened, without quarantine, by January appeared first on Thaiger News. Read the full story I have a question for The Thaiger or for any expert who knows. If the CCSA is disbanded at the end of September as rumored, does this mean that all of the restrictions that they have put in place go away? Or is it possible that they make some restrictions permanent, such as the COE process? Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53099 Share on other sites More sharing options...
KaptainRob Posted September 7, 2021 #53106 Share Posted September 7, 2021 2 hours ago, JamesE said: Before all y'all go all verklempt about how it's just a wish list, or BS, or how nutz theses guys are, you have to remember one thing: The Phuket Sandbox is considered an opening "without quarantine". When you use that - the sandbox model - as the definition of "without quarantine", I think you will be closer to their intent, and then the projections sound more reasonable. My opinion, and it is only that, is that Thailand would really like it if most of tourism goes away. But they can't say that. It would piss-off the international hotel conglomerates and developers if that cat was ever let out of the bag. The powers-that-be (not going quite as far as @dmacarelligoes here from a moral reasoning) would rather have tourism be 2 or 3% of the economy instead of 20%. They want TLOS to be an ASEAN alternative to China in manufacturing and they want BKK to take over from Hong Kong as a western-funded financial hub. To do that they need people they can train and those people have, to a greater or lesser extent, fled from the tourist zones back to their home cities, towns and villages. Eventually, they'll realize that tourism is not coming back in the foreseeable future and start looking for other work outside the markets and paddies.If Thailand can get its manufacturing going again (remember, up until April the Thai economy outside of tourism was doing just fine) then there will be a ready supply of workers for its expansion. The hotels, s#1t-shops, restaurants, and everything else that can't reset to a domestic-mostly tourist market will go the way of corner stables and farriers. A lot of people will get hurt, some will adapt, some won't, some will thrive; just like with any other transition. But first, Thailand has to remove any hope of anything in tourism returning to anything like 2019. My prediction is that the Phuket Sandbox is here to stay, it will just morph to the Thailand Sandbox over the next 4 to 6 months. Quote Thailand would really like it if most of tourism goes away. But they can't say that But who is "they"? I agree with 90% of what you've written and it is very pleasant in Chiang Mai without all the chinese tourists around town. Phuket may eventually get some of it's bars and clubs open and running again although that market had been in decline for years. Expat residents may enjoy far fewer tourists and less traffic on the roads. Businesses are already adapting, some growing others failing, evolution will see Thailand continue as manufacturing hub although a paradigm shift in government is now essential. Overdue. 2 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53106 Share on other sites More sharing options...
KaptainRob Posted September 7, 2021 #53110 Share Posted September 7, 2021 16 hours ago, gummy said: Yes whilst ever hopefull and optimistic I had to put that statement by the TAT minister to the test. The results were predictable I seem to recall a certain 1940's ministry referred to as the Propaganda Machine. Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53110 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freeduhdumb Posted September 7, 2021 #53117 Share Posted September 7, 2021 Herd Immunity? Do the vaccines prevent transmission now? It was my understanding they don't. How will they gauge/assess herd immunity? 4 1 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53117 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yinn Posted September 7, 2021 #53118 Share Posted September 7, 2021 20 minutes ago, KaptainRob said: it is very pleasant in Chiang Mai without all the chinese tourists around town. Good morning Kaptain Thai people like to travel. Is fun. Would they prefer see/be around in hotel/streets when they with there kids 1) group Chinese people shopping and visiting tourism attractions with family. Or 2) group elderly drunk farang sex tourist with young prostitutes in the street/bar? What you think? And what you think the government prefer? 1 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53118 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nobodysfriend Posted September 7, 2021 #53124 Share Posted September 7, 2021 22 hours ago, NCC1701A said: i want two blondes and a Ferrari but that is not going to happen either. funny , but exactly what you posted on TVF some time ago ... What about two brunettes and a Bugatti ...? Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53124 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nobodysfriend Posted September 7, 2021 #53127 Share Posted September 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, Freeduhdumb said: Herd Immunity? Do the vaccines prevent transmission now? It was my understanding they don't. How will they gauge/assess herd immunity? With a constantly mutating and spreading virus , there will never be a thing like ' herd immunity ' . It is only ' wishful thinking ' ... 1 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53127 Share on other sites More sharing options...
KaptainRob Posted September 7, 2021 #53128 Share Posted September 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Yinn said: Good morning Kaptain Thai people like to travel. Is fun. Would they prefer see/be around in hotel/streets when they with there kids 1) group Chinese people shopping and visiting tourism attractions with family. Or 2) group elderly drunk farang sex tourist with young prostitutes in the street/bar? What you think? And what you think the government prefer? Haha ... you not understand Yinn. It was not my comment re "what government prefer". JamesE discussion is about foreign tourism and I commented on the Cn we were receiving here in CM - predominantly package tours of up to 300 pax; rural folk turned factory workers; LOUD; RUDE; and shuttled from plane to Cn owned hotels by Cn tour operators. Seldom see Cn families but when we do they're fine, usually buying a house, educated and polite. 3 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53128 Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCC1701A Posted September 7, 2021 #53138 Share Posted September 7, 2021 20 minutes ago, Nobodysfriend said: funny , but exactly what you posted on TVF some time ago ... What about two brunettes and a Bugatti ...? i was wondering if anyone would notice. thank you. 4 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53138 Share on other sites More sharing options...
ExpatPattaya Posted September 7, 2021 #53139 Share Posted September 7, 2021 17 hours ago, mcambl61 said: There will never be zero covid. Vaccinate the most vulnerable groups. End the ridiculous overreaction and fear mongering. This works for me. Yet at risk people who refuse a vaccine must not be allowed to take up a bed in the hospital as well. Cant have it both ways. You want your "freedom" you cannot take away others if you get sick 3 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53139 Share on other sites More sharing options...
gummy Posted September 7, 2021 #53140 Share Posted September 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, ExpatPattaya said: This works for me. Yet at risk people who refuse a vaccine must not be allowed to take up a bed in the hospital as well. Cant have it both ways. You want your "freedom" you cannot take away others if you get sick Agree 100% with that, if they don't want to help themselves why should others be expected to help them when they fall sick Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53140 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yinn Posted September 7, 2021 #53142 Share Posted September 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, Transam said: Both, it is all income for your country, if the Government didn't like it, your no. 2) would have been closed down decades ago. Open your eyes to how your country works, and stop blaming farangs that spend their money to bolster your country. I not blame anybody. For what? just a question. sensitive. Hmmmm Thankyou come Thailand for bolster TranSam. i think Japan is bolster Thailand the most. Thousands factories, millions jobs. Manufacturing. Good jobs, better than.... Maybe you not see that area. I already bolster Malaysia, Nepal, Vietnam, Laos. And bolster Thailand a lot. Maybe I will help bolster England one day. 2 2 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53142 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob20 Posted September 7, 2021 #53145 Share Posted September 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, gummy said: Agree 100% with that, if they don't want to help themselves why should others be expected to help them when they fall sick Something to be said for it, but it's the same debate for smokers, obese, anti-vaxx and a million more... 1 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53145 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yinn Posted September 7, 2021 #53146 Share Posted September 7, 2021 30 minutes ago, KaptainRob said: JamesE discussion is about foreign tourism 3 hours ago, JamesE said: My opinion, and it is only that, is that Thailand would really like it if most of tourism goes away. I not think so. Thailand happy and proud show our country to polite tourists. welcome to Thailand. 3 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53146 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fluke Posted September 7, 2021 #53200 Share Posted September 7, 2021 (edited) 10 minutes ago, Transam said: Deleted . Dont want to get involved Edited September 7, 2021 by Fluke 3 1 2 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53200 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob20 Posted September 7, 2021 #53202 Share Posted September 7, 2021 Why don't they look at it logically for once? Gets rid of a lot of resistance. And they can then justly claim to do the right thing. In the end this is what they do anyway, but with 1000 c*ckups and corrections in between now and then. This year 100m vaccines Next year already announced 200m Put ALL efforts in getting the jabs in arms NOW. Deplete all stocks a.s.a.p. every time something arrives. In 2-3 months 75% of the population can be fully vaccinated if it's organised properly. Some can even be boosted (those that received only 2*Sinovac). THEN you can open the country. Open it more safely. Open it without 500 rules that differ for each region. Open it with infections rising, but with severe disease and deaths very much reducing. And it will be something other countries can see, understand and respond to. 2 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53202 Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry1 Posted September 7, 2021 #53246 Share Posted September 7, 2021 so the huge streets protest starts in january 2022, about time Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53246 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yinn Posted September 7, 2021 #53251 Share Posted September 7, 2021 (edited) 1 hour ago, Transam said: Thailand as tourists to use that service and provide income for the country Thankyou for you question. I not think they come for intention “provide income for the country”. Sound lovely. IMO. Edited September 7, 2021 by King Cotton Off-topic content deleted. 1 1 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53251 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaimai Posted September 7, 2021 #53272 Share Posted September 7, 2021 Good point .... Thailand already has enough drunk/drug misfits of their own. I am sure Yinn understands that the prostitution food chain extends beyond the girls/pimps.......... unless Mama/Papa etc are pimping them, of course. From what I heard many so-called 'sex tourists' have tried other countries, but say that nobody gives it up so easily as Thai ladies. For me personally, I came here as a sex tourist but have now progressed to getting it free from lovely Thai ladies. 1 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53272 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fluke Posted September 7, 2021 #53276 Share Posted September 7, 2021 18 minutes ago, Yinn said: Thankyou for you question. I not think they come for intention “provide income for the country”. Sound lovely. Come to exploit poverty situation. if can not have cheap sex with young girl they will not come to “provide income for the country” If really want to “provide income for the country” they not need made the young girl do sex for them. They can make donation. When I travel to other country, eg buy food I not claim I do because for “provide income for the country”. I do because I enjoy travel. Is not donation. I see comment before from sex tourist believe themself about that. I understand some really belief that. They come to help the people? Or help themself? What you think? James say that Thailand prefer have no tourist. I disagree about that. Thai is friendly to have guest in Thailand. But only the prostitutes and pimp want sex tourist come. For money themself, not “the country”. The other 99% Thai people prefer the sex tourist no come here. Is ugly situation. If I see tourist I happy to help them, want them to enjoy, welcome feeling. But I avoid sex tourist. Yuk. IMO prefer they go another country. You see the drunk/drug sex tourist make more problem in Thailand than the lovely Chinese/farang family or couple or normal tourist. Sure. Social misfit. IMO. I have noticed that , sex tourists usually think that Thailand is dependent on them coming to Thailand . They seem to think that it was them who built the Country and that Thais would be living in poverty without them 1 1 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53276 Share on other sites More sharing options...
gummy Posted September 7, 2021 #53279 Share Posted September 7, 2021 Just now, Fluke said: I have noticed that , sex tourists usually think that Thailand is dependent on them coming to Thailand . They seem to think that it was them who built the Country and that Thais would be living in poverty without them You forget many Thais are living in poverty or does ignoring facts not suit your argument ? https://www.bangkokpost.com/business/2054387/world-bank-1-5m-fell-into-poverty#:~:text=Around 1.5 million Thais were,pandemic%2C says the World Bank.&text=Thailand's poverty ratio is expected,according to the global lender. Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53279 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fluke Posted September 7, 2021 #53280 Share Posted September 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, Chaimai said: Good point .... Thailand already has enough drunk/drug misfits of their own. I am sure Yinn understands that the prostitution food chain extends beyond the girls/pimps.......... unless Mama/Papa etc are pimping them, of course. From what I heard many so-called 'sex tourists' have tried other countries, but say that nobody gives it up so easily as Thai ladies. For me personally, I came here as a sex tourist but have now progressed to getting it free from lovely Thai ladies. Thanks for the info , but I doubt that anyone is interested in your sex life or wants to hear about it (or believes it) 1 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53280 Share on other sites More sharing options...
colinneil Posted September 7, 2021 #53282 Share Posted September 7, 2021 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Chaimai said: For me personally, I came here as a sex tourist but have now progressed to getting it free from lovely Thai ladies. You actually expect anybody believe that load of c##p? Edited September 7, 2021 by colinneil 1 1 Link to comment https://talk.thethaiger.com/topic/4815-news-forum-tourism-ministry-wants-thailand-fully-re-opened-without-quarantine-by-january/page/2/#findComment-53282 Share on other sites More sharing options...
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