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Thursday Covid-19 update: 7,058 new infections, 75 deaths


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5 hours ago, stuhan said:

They're afraid of starting lockdowns coz of damaging  the economy , what about the cost of lives.Start short term lockdowns, travel restrictions within Thailand  and get their act together with vaccinations or this could get totally out of control. Its no good them burying their heads in the sand hoping this virus will just go away ,it wont  as long as we allow it to spread .

However if they did bury their heads in the sand it would be impossible to catch the virus.

Edited by TobyAndrews
mistake
  • Like 1
14 minutes ago, Stonker said:

Sorry, but that's simply untrue - a high number of cases isn't necessary to reach herd immunity for Covid-19 or any other virus as it can be achieved by effective vaccine rollouts - look at polio for a simple but clear example.

Just as supporting info, herd immunity threshold (HIT) can be easily calculated from the reproduction number (R0) by the formula:

HIT = 1 - (1/ R0)

R0 for COVID-19 is (was?) estimated between 2.5 and 6 in many countries, thus a HIT of 60-83% is necessary, hence the common 70% HIT. The so-called delta variant is presumed to have a higher R0, between 8 and 10 (HIT between 87 and 90%). 

Of course, it is better to get a HIT with vaccinations rather than let the people get (H)it.

Sorry for the pun.

  • Like 2
8 hours ago, BlueSphinx said:

... and please don't call positive tests CASES.  In the NewSpeak jargon of the covid-sociopaths every positive test is called a 'case', which is the medical term when you have a disease.  But in the absence of a standard for the number of cycles that need to be conducted, many labs keep 'cycling' way over the max of 30 cycles for the PCR test to provide any meaningful outcome.  At 45 cycles 95% of those that tested positive on the PCR test are false positives.  And it has been PROVEN that in the UK the authorities fiddled with those cycle-times to provide the results they needed to confirm the narrative that aligned with their plans.

Sorry. Do you have a source of the number of tests carried out each day.  In the U.K. this is a combination of PCR and lateral flow tests. I’m not sure if it’s only PCR tests they count in Thailand ? 

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