News Forum - CCSA spokesperson says 30,000 Covid infections per day

[Thaiger]

The Centre for Covid-19 Situation Administration spokesperson is warning that Covid-19 infections are growing, with an increase seen in 44 of Thailand’s 77 provinces, including Bangkok. He said that between August 7 and August 13, daily Covid infections had averaged 31,148 cases per day, despite the Department of Disease Control reporting official numbers of about 1,900 infections today and 2,100 yesterday. 853 infections were considered severe, with nearly half of those, 436 in total, requiring the use of a ventilator. 236 people died from coronavirus during that same week, though most were pregnant women, those with underlying conditions, or elderly […]

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[HolyCowCm]

Sounds as if the virus is till wreaking dangerous havoc. People should still be careful. I've had it twice and do not wish thrice.

[Cg66]

Medications? Remdesivir  is a failed Ebola drug, one of four that were being trialled. The other three had a 30% mortality rate, but Remdesivir was pulled because it had a mortality rate of over 50%. What do you do with a failed drug? Roll it out as a cure for something else of course. Side-effects of this drug, luckily for the pharmaceutical company Gilead science, are similar to Covid. Paxlovid, The Pfizer anti-viral is being heavily promoted, didn’t work particularly  well on Biden or his wife. Any benefits disappeared after three days.

[Pompies]

The recent use of these notional figures is a recent development since the switch to focus on hospitalisations which was deemed the truly relevant figure. So suddenly we are being fed unproven numbers because they are little more than an estimate because the self test figures are not collected. Therefore we have an official dissemination of Fake News.

[Chatogaster]

 

It's funny to see how predictable people/governments can sometimes be. 

To reach the required 0.1% fatality rate for endemic status in October, you need a whole lot more cases than what was officially reported for the past 60 days (steadily hovering around 2200/day). 

During that period, the fatality rate has doubled and now sits around 1.4%. A "more true" number like 30,000 is sufficient to reach 0.1%, but only barely. Doubling it to be on the safe side (and admittedly also on the more realistic side) makes perfect sense.

PS: in reply to Pompies who had somewhat similar thoughts: the real number of cases can be guessed based on the number of people who report self-isolation and request free medication. If statistics like that are behind the figure of 30,000 cases, I would expect it to be accurate enough to use it as a lower bound.
 

 

[Janneman]

They should only use anti viral pills in severe cases. Not for mild infections. There are 853 severe cases a week, that is 121 per day. And they ordered 11 million anti viral pills?

[DesperateOldHand]

4 hours ago, Pompies said:

The recent use of these notional figures is a recent development since the switch to focus on hospitalisations which was deemed the truly relevant figure. So suddenly we are being fed unproven numbers because they are little more than an estimate because the self test figures are not collected. Therefore we have an official dissemination of Fake News.

The general narratives and promotions of the last couple of years have been fake.